2012 NFL Thrills and Chills, Part I (NFC)
By Glenn Guzzo
Here’s a brief summary of the highlights and lowlights of Strat-O-Matic’s new football ratings:
ARIZONA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! WR Fitzgerald still has the catches, if not the yards
Oh No! Offense? Not gonna happen with anyone but oft-injured Kolb at QB … The worst OL in NFL has three 0s, two 4s w/3 and 2 pass blockers at OT
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good to Excellent pass D w/a 6 for LCB Peterson … LILB Washington has stud value: 6 with (3*)12 sacks
Oh No! Average to Poor run D with Short Gains at 7 and 8
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Punting, placekicking and kickoffs (18 touchbacks) all excellent
Oh No! Spoiled by Peterson’s PR TDs last year, his longest is 26 now
ATLANTA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! QB Ryan keeps getting better: 14 complete chances LP Wrong … Receiving trio of WRs Jones (10 chances of LG or better LP Wrong), White, TE Gonzalez … 7 pass block at RT, LG
Oh No! 0 run block at LT, RG
Defense:
Oh Yeah! A 6 for FS DeCoud and three 5s in secondary
Oh No! Average to Poor run D w/Short Gains at 7, low fumbles; no 5s or 6s in front seven
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! NO penalties on ATL except for the automatic calls … Bryant’s FG kicking (2-6, 12 up to 55 yards)
Oh No! Blocked punt
CAROLINA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! QB Newton’s pistol run card has +72, +32, +20 and SG Wrong to go with 12 complete chances LP Wrong – pick your poison, defense … Explosive WR Steve Smith … Greg Olsen is rare three-zone receiving threat for a modern TE … LTGross (7,6)
Oh No! RG Williams (2, 0) … Can this team get the tough yards when it needs them?
Defense:
Oh Yeah! 6 for rookie MLB Kuechly
Oh No! 0s at both DT and two more in the secondary
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Superb KR coverage
Oh No! Field-position issues: KR (longest: 35), PR (mostly fair catches); blocked punt, LG on punt return coverage
CHICAGO
Offense:
Oh Yeah! WR Marshall has max catches everywhere w/good yardage
Oh No! Oh-Oh-Oh – that’s the ratings of the interior OL run blocking
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Excellent run D with high fumbles … Four 6s, four 5s w/6s at both CB
Oh No! Pass D with 0 Men: Only 6 is incomplete Short; 3-5 are LG Long (8-9 “defender” readings also X or LG)
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! 19 touchbacks and excellent kick coverage
Oh No! -4 penalty differential
DALLAS
Offense:
Oh Yeah! Three 7 pass blockers for strong Romo LP card (7 chances Right, 12 Wrong) … WR Bryant’s frequent-flyer card (catches + big plays) … TE Witten still a star
Oh No! RBs, OL run blocking don’t inspire
Defense:
Oh Yeah! 6s with (7*) 12 sacks for both OLBs, Spencer and Ware
Oh No! It’s the Poor house for SP 3 Men: only incomplete = 11; INT = 2-3
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Harris PR TD on 3 … Bailey FGs: 2-10 or better thru 49 yds
Oh No! -5 penalty differential (good luck with that) … LG on both KR, PR coverage
DETROIT
Offense:
Oh Yeah! QB Stafford’s 24 SP Wrong completes … Megatron’s dream catch + gain card … 7 pass blockers at both OTs, Center … HB Bell’s +50 and 20 other chances for +10 or better FP Wrong
Oh No! Why would the opposing D guess Run? Yards aren’t there, fumbles are (2-7, 11, 12 Wrong)
Defense:
Oh Yeah! DRT Suh: 6 with 8 sacks
Oh No! Very Poor pass D includes two 0s in secondary … Two more 0s on DL
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Solid punting, placekicking
Oh No! Long Gain on both KR, PR coverage
GREEN BAY
Offense:
Oh Yeah! QB Rodgers’ 18 completes SP Right, 13 completes LP Wrong … No RB fumbles
Oh No! No RB yards, either … Buy burgers for LT Newhouse (2, 0) and the Wimpy OL
Defense:
Oh Yeah! ROLB Mathews: 6 w/(6*)12 sacks … Three 5s at CB … Two 6s on 3-man DL
Oh No! The pass D totally depends on the player ratings w/Long Gains galore on the team cards … NO fumbles on the run D
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Cobb’s PR TD … strong punt coverage
Oh No! Blocked punt
MINNESOTA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! As good as it ever gets: RB Peterson’s Long Gains Right, and +20 or better chances Wrong (10 LB, 11 OT, 14 ER) … Rookie LT Kalil (7, 5) … WR/HB Harvin: SGs on 6-7-8 ER Wrong
Oh No! Can QB Ponder and receivers keep the D off Peterson’s back? Not often enough
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good to Excellent run D … LCB Winfield returns as a 6
Oh No! Very Poor pass D: Low INTs and NO incompletes SP 3Men
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Harvin KR TD (on #3), Sherels PR TD … Rookie All-Pro PK Walsh: best-ever 2-8, 12 FG from 56 yds; 22 touchbacks
Oh No! It’s all good – nothing to complain about
NEW ORLEANS
Offense:
Oh Yeah! NFL pass yardage and TD leader Brees completes 11 Right, 13 Wrong on LP … The LG-rich cards of three WRs … RG Evans (7,6) and two other 7 pass blockers … A rare two-threat running backfield w/HB Sproles, FB/HB Thomas – both lethal on FP Wrong, too
Oh No! Brees’ automatic INT at #10 on LP Right
Defense:
Oh Yeah! LE Jordan (5, with 8 pass rush) is as good as it gets here
Oh No! Run and Pass team cards so obscene that you should need ID to view them … After setting NFL record for most yards allowed, it won’t be the Saints that go marching in.
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Morstead’s booming punts (still 51 yds at #8, 40 yds at #11) … 19 touchback chances and excellent KR coverage
Oh No! Long Gain on punt coverage
NEW YORK GIANTS
Offense:
Oh Yeah! HB Bradshaw’s Short Gains at #7 Right across the card … LG Snee, FB Hynoski both 7,6 blockers; two other 7 pass blockers … Four WR deep threats
Oh No! QB Manning can make the big plays for both teams
Defense:
Oh Yeah! RE Pierre-Paul is the only 6 and tops with 8 pass rush
Oh No! Two 0s, six 4s and little pass rush on a D that struggles to be average
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Wilson’s KR TD … +5 penalty differential … P Weatherford
Oh No! Only 9 touchbacks … PR Randle can gain only on #2 (+18)
PHILADELPHIA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! LG Mathis (7,6)
Oh No! Eagles don’t just put the ball on the ground, they dribble: RB automatic fumbles Right / QB fumbles on MR at #8 … Two 0s, two 4s for OL run block
Defense:
Oh Yeah! HB Brown ER Wrong: +65 and Long Gain
Oh No! Very Poor pass D has Long Gain at #4 for SP 3 Men, only incomplete at #12 … Poor run D causes no fumbles … Two 0s at LB and two more in secondary
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Johnson’s PR TD … Henery good 2-10 or better to 49 yds on FGs
Oh No! Blocked punt and Long Gain on PR coverage; missed XP
ST. LOUIS
Offense:
Oh Yeah! No RB fumbles … QB Bradford’s improved FP, SP … LT Saffold’s 7 pass block
Oh No! C, LG 0 run block
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good pass D includes twin De pass rush threats – 11 and (1*)12
Oh No! Run D causes no fumbles
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Hekker’s strong punting … PK Zuerlein: 20 touchback chances, FG 2-6, 11, 12 from 60 yds
Oh No! -7 penalty differential (yikes!) … Long Gain on PR coverage
SAN FRANCISCO
Offense:
Oh Yeah! All 6 run blocks from LT to RT and another at FB … No RB fumbles
Oh No! Shaky pass blocking at C, RG, RT and backs
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Excellent run D … Seven 6s (all four LBs), four 5s
Oh No! Don’t dare complain – how serious could a problem be with eleven 6s and 5s?
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! P Lee (still 50 yds at #7) … superb PR coverage (+2, +4, +3)
Oh No! +35, +32, +27 KR coverage
SEATTLE
Offense:
Oh Yeah! HB Lynch SG or better Wrong: 17 chances LB/OT, 19 ER … LT Okung and Center Unger both 7,6 blockers … Very low fumbles
Oh No! Boring receivers … LG Moffitt (2,0), RT Giacomini (0,4)
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good to Excellent run D … Two 6s, five 5s in back seven
Oh No! Third-degree burn factor on LP … with sub Irvin in for desperately needed pass rush, both DE are 0 base D
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Washington’s KR TD … P Ryan … Hauschka 2-10 or better FGs to 49 yds
Oh No! Many penalties both ways may cancel too many good plays
TAMPA BAY
Offense:
Oh Yeah! Rookie HB Martin’s Long Gains Right across the card and 10 more chances of +40 or better … WRs Jackson, Williams both w/max LP catches … Jackson’s scary yardage (e.g. 14 chances LG or better LP Wrong) … LT Penn (7,6) … No RB fumbles
Oh No! Erratic QB Freeman … 0 run block at C, RG, RT
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Excellent run D w/stingy yardage at #s 6,7,8
Oh No! Very Poor pass D … 0s at RE, LLB, LCB … LE Bennett only pass rush threat (9)
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! PK Barth: 2-7, 11, 12 FGs to 57 yds; 25 touchback chances
Oh No! Blocked punt
WASHINGTON
Offense:
Oh Yeah! QB Griffin’s passing a +76 on Must Run … HB Morris’ Short Gains Right at #7 across the card w/strong Wrong columns, too … No fumbles: RB, Must Run or Rec/QB … TE Davis’ formidable FP … LT Williams (7,6)
Oh No! RT Polumbus (2,0)
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good to Excellent run D … LOLB Kerrigan: 5 w/10 pass rush … Ancient LILB Fletcher a 6 again
Oh No! Poor pass D has Long Gain at #4 SP 3 Men and three 0s in secondary
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Even without TD, PR Banks excites
Oh No! Blocked punt, missed XP, -3 penalty differential
*Part II of NFL Thrills and Chills (AFC) will be released this Friday, July 12th.