2020 NFL Thrills and Chills, Part I
By Glenn Guzzo
Here’s a brief summary of the highlights and lowlights of Strat-O-Matic’s new football ratings:
ARIZONA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! WR Hopkins still catches everything. This time he has LG help from 3 receivers.
Oh No! Time stops for no one – not even Larry Fitzgerald.
Defense:
Oh Yeah! 66 SS Baker and sacking ROLB Reddick (6*)
Oh No! Turnover-starved D that is Short Gain City vs the run
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Punter Andy Lee is still great (still 44 yds at #9) … good KO coverage.
Oh No! Yawn for everything else
ATLANTA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! QB Ryan, great on FP and SP, has TWO WRs with max FP, SP and LP catches
Oh No! Without 2,3,11,12 rolls, RBs may not free the passing game
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good to Excellent run D stingy between the tackles with 6-rated LT Jarrett
Oh No! Very Poor pass D w/two 0s, two 4s in secondary
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! +1/2/3 punt coverage … 2-7, 11, 12 Good on FG up to 54 yds
Oh No! Missed XP on 11 AND 12
CAROLINA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! Boom! WR Moore, the best deep-threat in the set, explodes with 36 LG chances … Two more WRs have max FP catches. Good thing, because …
Oh No! … Without oft-injured McCaffrey, there is no receiver help at TE or RB
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Run D will force fumbles (e.g. 2-6 ER w/0 LB)
Oh No! Very Poor pass D and an overall D with no 6s or asterisk sackers
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! #2 KOR man Cannon has a 98-yd return … EZ kickoffs on all but 2, 12 … Charlton’s long-distance punting
Oh No! Missed XP on 11 AND 12 … LG on punt coverage
CHICAGO
Offense:
Oh Yeah! Montgomery’s +80, +57 and 4 LG chances on LB/OT
Oh No! Otherwise, almost no quick-score ability
Defense:
Oh Yeah! LOLB Mack (46 w/ 2* sacks) and LILB Smith (64 w/8 rush)
Oh No! Otherwise, it’s Monsters of the Mediocre on team cards
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Patterson KO TD … +15/12/21 KO coverage important because …
Oh No! … 16 for-sure KO runback chances
DALLAS
Offense:
Oh Yeah! RG Martin (7,6) … Big-play WR triplets Cooper, Gallup, Lamb …
Oh No! … Will have to carry all the pass-catch load … 0 run block at C, both OT
Defense:
Oh Yeah! LE Lawrence (6 with 8 pass rush)
Oh No! Charge this Poor pass D AND run D with criminal negligence.
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! KOR Pollard (TD and more) … strong, consistent P Niswander
Oh No! Missed XP on 11 AND 12 (PK Zeurlein is better at FG than XP)
DETROIT
Offense:
Oh Yeah! TE Hockenson’s 2-tmd catches … Stafford’s downfield passing …
C Ragnow (7,6)
Oh No! Ball! 2-8,12 Fumbles Right for RBs; #9 on Must Runs
Defense:
Oh Yeah! RE Okwara’s 11 pass rush
Oh No! This defense rests … 9 chances LP for “defender X or LG” and only 0s at CB, SS in this Very Poor pass D w/LG at #4 on SP 3 Men … Poor run D (zero fumbles, three 0s on the DL)
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Agnew PR TD … Big-foot P Fox (still 50 yds at #8) … +1/2/3 KO coverage …
Prater FGs Good 2-7 at 59 yds
Oh No! Missed XP on 11 AND 12
GREEN BAY
Offense:
Oh Yeah! Can’t defend them all: Pitch/catch duo Rodgers/Adams as good as it gets, with two other big-play WRs and a pass-catching TE. RB Jones runs for tough yards and big yards (33 chances for SG or better) and can catch, too … And THREE OL with 7,6: C Linsley, LG Jenkins, LT Bakhtiari
Oh No! This page intentionally left blank
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good Pass D with two 6s and a 5 in secondary, yet …
Oh No! 3 LB and RCB with 0s in coverage
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Ultra-accurate FG man Crosby (and 2-6,12 Good to 57 yds)
Oh No! Take a knee: Not worth the risk to return kicks; blocked punt; missed XP on 11;
terrible KO, PR coverage
LOS ANGELES RAMS
Offense:
Oh Yeah! Kupp: Max FP/SP catches and the only SE with a 4 run block …
OL pass block is all 7s and 5s
Oh No! For all that, it will take a cagey coach to lift this lackluster offense.
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good to Excellent pass D AND run D w/2 asterisk sackers and 66 FS Johnson
Oh No! 00 ROLB Ebukam
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! If you can’t say something nice – then don’t
Oh No! HIT somebody: Awful KR/PR coverage and blocked punt …
Missed XP on 11 AND 12
MINNESOTA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! Three-head monster: HB Cook (51 chances SG or better and a FP threat), WRs Jefferson (27 LG chances, 2-tmd catches), Thielen (max SP, 17 LG chances)
Oh No! They may need to score suddenly with MIN’s fumble/INT problems.
Defense:
Oh Yeah! The team pass D cards are quite good
Oh No! No fumbles, many yards and no 6s or 5s on DL in this Poor run D
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Umm, uh, just keep the ball until you score a TD, all right?
Oh No! Missed XP 10-12! … blocked punt … LG on KR coverage
NEW ORLEANS
Offense:
Oh Yeah! No longer great, Brees’ passing still good enough to free Kamara for his
39 Wrong runs of SG or better, especially w/7 pass block at both OT
Oh No! Michael Thomas’ LP (2-6 combos, 24 long) says it all about the decline of Saints offense.
Defense:
Oh Yeah! 4 men with a 6, plus sacking RE Hendrickson (3*)
Oh No! If you want to get the ball back fast, leave your FS out of the LP zone. Then you can return a kickoff
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Deep KO on all but #3 … superb KO, PR coverage
Oh No! Only 2-4 Good on FGs beyond 49 yds
NEW YORK GIANTS
Offense:
Oh Yeah! TE Engram (2-tmd catches, LP LG) … RB Gallman 39 chances SG or better … QB Jones +80, +34 and 13 SG chances ER Wrong
Oh No! Poor pass blocking incl LG Lemieux (0 run block and pass block) makes downfield passing difficult. Better get the D to guess Wrong
Defense:
Oh Yeah! RE Williams (6 w/2* sacks) on DL w/two 5s
Oh No! OT yardage: SG at 7 and 8 w/0 LB
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! Great Gano on FG, including 2-6, 11,12 Good to 55 yds
Oh No! XP miss on 11 AND 12 …blocked punt … LG on KO coverage
PHILADELPHIA
Offense:
Oh Yeah! House party: RB Sanders can score from almost anywhere (+82 and LG on #4 ER; +74 on #11 OT; LG on LB)
Oh No! Broken OL (no pass block better than 4) will make it tough on the air game. Did you question why Eagles dumped Wentz and went WR #1? These cards will give you the answer.
Defense:
Oh Yeah! LE Graham (6 with 1* sacks) and LT Cox (6)
Oh No! Just not right: 0s at RT, RLB, RCB
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! +2/5/3 punt coverage
Oh No! XP miss on 11 AND 12 … blocked punt
SAN FRANCISCO
Offense:
Oh Yeah! Max FP/SP catches for TE Kittle; blocking stalwarts at TE, FB, both OT
Oh No! Way too many fumbles, INTs for an offense with so few playmakers
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good pass D with a 6 (66 MLB Warner), three 5s in back seven
Oh No! No team suffered worse injuries than SF’s D; it shows in Poor run D
w/zero fumbles
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! If P Wishnowsky gets it away, deep kicks and solid coverage
Oh No! Blocked punt … XP miss on 11 … LG on KO coverage
SEATTLE
Offense:
Oh Yeah! If Wilson-to-Metcalf scares you (it should), WRs Lockett, Moore can exploit
single coverage … Minimum RB fumbles
Oh No! … But there’s pass block issues except for 7-rated LT Brown
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good to Excellent run D w/three 6s (66 MLB Wagner, 66 SS Adams and
46 FS Diggs) plus four 5s
Oh No! Sleeping in Seattle? In Poor pass D, LP 0 Men is a nightmare
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! P Dickson: still 49 yds at #9 … Fine KO, PR coverage … Myers reliable FGs
Oh No! XP miss at 11 AND 12
TAMPA BAY
Offense:
Oh Yeah! WR Evans leads a pack of seven receivers with LG or max/near-max catches …
QB Brady has 15 complete chances LP Wrong … RB Jones +98 ER Wrong
Stalwart OL has three 7s on pass block, a 6 and four 5s on run block
Oh No! If RBs don’t explode Wrong, they won’t get far
Defense:
Oh Yeah! SUPREME run D w/seven 6s and 5s vs run … 66 ILB David …
sacking LBs White (10), Pierre-Paul (11)
Oh No! Five pass-coverage 4s in back eight
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! 27 deep KO chances still might not discourage returns, because …
Oh No! … +53/50/52 KO coverage, LG on PR coverage – YIKES! …
XP miss on 11 AND 12.
WASHINGTON
Offense:
Oh Yeah! McLaurin max FP/SP catches …
Oh No! But there’s that problem of who is going to get the ball to him (Brandon Allen
beats Smith and Haskins)
Defense:
Oh Yeah! Good pass D w/5s at both corners … Limited yards on run D
w/RE Sweat (6 with 10 pass rush), three 5s on DL
Oh No! Run D forces zero fumbles
Special Teams:
Oh Yeah! P Wray (still 47 yds on #9) and top PR, KR coverage
Oh No! XP miss on 11